第R2周：Pytorch实现：LSTM-火灾温度预测

nn.LSTM() 函数详解
nn.LSTM 是 PyTorch 中用于创建长短期记忆（Long Short-Term Memory，LSTM）模型的类。LSTM 是一种循环神经网络（Recurrent Neural Network，RNN）的变体，用于处理序列数据，能够有效地捕捉长期依赖关系。

语法

torch.nn.LSTM(input_size, hidden_size, num_layers=1, bias=True, batch_first=False, dropout=0, bidirectional=False)

●input_size: 输入特征的维度。
●hidden_size: 隐藏状态的维度，也是输出特征的维度。
●num_layers（可选参数）: LSTM 层的数量，默认为 1。
●bias（可选参数）: 是否使用偏置，默认为 True。
●batch_first（可选参数）: 如果为 True，则输入和输出张量的形状为 (batch_size, seq_len, feature_size)，默认为 False。
●dropout（可选参数）: 如果非零，将在 LSTM 层的输出上应用 dropout，防止过拟合。默认为 0。
●bidirectional（可选参数）: 如果为 True，则使用双向 LSTM，输出维度将翻倍。默认为 False。

示例

import torch
import torch.nn as nn# 定义一个单向 LSTM 模型
input_size  = 10
hidden_size = 20
num_layers  = 2
batch_size  = 3
seq_len     = 5lstm = nn.LSTM(input_size, hidden_size, num_layers)# 构造一个输入张量
input_tensor = torch.randn(seq_len, batch_size, input_size)# 初始化隐藏状态和细胞状态
h0 = torch.randn(num_layers, batch_size, hidden_size)
c0 = torch.randn(num_layers, batch_size, hidden_size)# 将输入传递给 LSTM 模型
output, (hn, cn) = lstm(input_tensor, (h0, c0))print("Output shape:", output.shape)    # 输出特征的形状
print("Hidden state shape:", hn.shape)  # 最后一个时间步的隐藏状态的形状
print("Cell state shape:", cn.shape)    # 最后一个时间步的细胞状态的形状

代码输出

Output shape: torch.Size([5, 3, 20])
Hidden state shape: torch.Size([2, 3, 20])
Cell state shape: torch.Size([2, 3, 20])

注意事项

●input_size 指定了输入数据的特征维度，hidden_size 指定了 LSTM 层的隐藏状态维度，num_layers 指定了 LSTM 的层数。
●LSTM 的输入张量的形状通常是 (seq_len, batch_size, input_size)，但如果设置了 batch_first=True，则形状为 (batch_size, seq_len, input_size)。
●LSTM 的输出包括输出张量和最后一个时间步的隐藏状态和细胞状态。
●可以通过 bidirectional=True 参数创建双向 LSTM，它会将输入序列分别从前向和后向传播，并将两个方向的隐藏状态拼接在一起作为输出。
●在使用 LSTM 时，通常需要注意输入数据的序列长度，以及是否需要对输入数据进行填充或截断，以保证输入数据的长度是一致的。

要求：
1.了解LSTM是什么，并使用其构建一个完整的程序
2.R2达到0.83

拔高：
1.使用第1 ~ 8个时刻的数据预测第9 ~ 10个时刻的温度数据

我的环境：
●语言环境：Python3.8
●编译器：Jupyter Lab
●深度学习框架：torch 1.10.2 (cpu)
●数据：火灾温度数据集

一、前期准备工作

import torch.nn.functional as F
import numpy  as np
import pandas as pd
import torch
from torch    import nn

1. 导入数据

data = pd.read_csv("./R2/woodpine2.csv")data

代码输出

5948 rows × 4 columns

2. 数据集可视化

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as snsplt.rcParams['savefig.dpi'] = 500 #图片像素
plt.rcParams['figure.dpi']  = 500 #分辨率fig, ax =plt.subplots(1,3,constrained_layout=True, figsize=(14, 3))sns.lineplot(data=data["Tem1"], ax=ax[0])
sns.lineplot(data=data["CO 1"], ax=ax[1])
sns.lineplot(data=data["Soot 1"], ax=ax[2])
plt.show()

代码输出

dataFrame = data.iloc[:,1:]dataFrame

代码输出

5948 rows × 3 columns

二、构建数据集

1. 数据集预处理

from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScalerdataFrame = data.iloc[:,1:].copy()
sc  = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1)) #将数据归一化，范围是0到1for i in ['CO 1', 'Soot 1', 'Tem1']:dataFrame[i] = sc.fit_transform(dataFrame[i].values.reshape(-1, 1))dataFrame.shape

代码输出

(5948, 3)

2. 设置X、y

width_X = 8
width_y = 1##取前8个时间段的Tem1、CO 1、Soot 1为X，第9个时间段的Tem1为y。
X = []
y = []in_start = 0for _, _ in data.iterrows():in_end  = in_start + width_Xout_end = in_end   + width_yif out_end < len(dataFrame):X_ = np.array(dataFrame.iloc[in_start:in_end , ])y_ = np.array(dataFrame.iloc[in_end  :out_end, 0])X.append(X_)y.append(y_)in_start += 1X = np.array(X)
y = np.array(y).reshape(-1,1,1)X.shape, y.shape

代码输出

((5939, 8, 3), (5939, 1, 1))

检查数据集中是否有空值

print(np.any(np.isnan(X)))
print(np.any(np.isnan(y)))

代码输出

False
False

3. 划分数据集

X_train = torch.tensor(np.array(X[:5000]), dtype=torch.float32)
y_train = torch.tensor(np.array(y[:5000]), dtype=torch.float32)X_test  = torch.tensor(np.array(X[5000:]), dtype=torch.float32)
y_test  = torch.tensor(np.array(y[5000:]), dtype=torch.float32)
X_train.shape, y_train.shape

代码输出

(torch.Size([5000, 8, 3]), torch.Size([5000, 1, 1]))

from torch.utils.data import TensorDataset, DataLoadertrain_dl = DataLoader(TensorDataset(X_train, y_train),batch_size=64, shuffle=False)test_dl  = DataLoader(TensorDataset(X_test, y_test),batch_size=64, shuffle=False)

三、模型训练

1. 构建模型

class model_lstm(nn.Module):def __init__(self):super(model_lstm, self).__init__()self.lstm0 = nn.LSTM(input_size=3 ,hidden_size=320, num_layers=1, batch_first=True)self.lstm1 = nn.LSTM(input_size=320 ,hidden_size=320, num_layers=1, batch_first=True)self.fc0   = nn.Linear(320, 1)def forward(self, x):out, hidden1 = self.lstm0(x) out, _ = self.lstm1(out, hidden1) out    = self.fc0(out) return out[:, -1:, :]   #取2个预测值,否则经过lstm会得到8*2个预测model = model_lstm()
model

代码输出

model_lstm((lstm0): LSTM(3, 320, batch_first=True)(lstm1): LSTM(320, 320, batch_first=True)(fc0): Linear(in_features=320, out_features=1, bias=True)
)

让我们看看模型的输出数据集格式是什么

model(torch.rand(30,8,3)).shape

代码输出

torch.Size([30, 1, 1])

2. 定义训练函数

# 训练循环
import copy
def train(train_dl, model, loss_fn, opt, lr_scheduler=None):size        = len(train_dl.dataset)  num_batches = len(train_dl)   train_loss  = 0  # 初始化训练损失和正确率for x, y in train_dl:  x, y = x.to(device), y.to(device)# 计算预测误差pred = model(x)          # 网络输出loss = loss_fn(pred, y)  # 计算网络输出和真实值之间的差距# 反向传播opt.zero_grad()  # grad属性归零loss.backward()  # 反向传播opt.step()       # 每一步自动更新# 记录losstrain_loss += loss.item()if lr_scheduler is not None:lr_scheduler.step()print("learning rate = {:.5f}".format(opt.param_groups[0]['lr']), end="  ")train_loss /= num_batchesreturn train_loss

3. 定义测试函数

def test (dataloader, model, loss_fn):size        = len(dataloader.dataset)  # 测试集的大小num_batches = len(dataloader)          # 批次数目test_loss   = 0# 当不进行训练时，停止梯度更新，节省计算内存消耗with torch.no_grad():for x, y in dataloader:x, y = x.to(device), y.to(device)# 计算lossy_pred = model(x)loss        = loss_fn(y_pred, y)test_loss += loss.item()test_loss /= num_batchesreturn test_loss

4. 正式训练模型

#设置GPU训练
device=torch.device("cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu")
device

代码输出

device(type='cpu')

#训练模型
model = model_lstm()
model = model.to(device)
loss_fn    = nn.MSELoss() # 创建损失函数
learn_rate = 1e-1   # 学习率
opt        = torch.optim.SGD(model.parameters(),lr=learn_rate,weight_decay=1e-4)
epochs     = 50
train_loss = []
test_loss  = []
lr_scheduler = torch.optim.lr_scheduler.CosineAnnealingLR(opt,epochs, last_epoch=-1) for epoch in range(epochs):model.train()epoch_train_loss = train(train_dl, model, loss_fn, opt, lr_scheduler)model.eval()epoch_test_loss = test(test_dl, model, loss_fn)train_loss.append(epoch_train_loss)test_loss.append(epoch_test_loss)template = ('Epoch:{:2d}, Train_loss:{:.5f}, Test_loss:{:.5f}')print(template.format(epoch+1, epoch_train_loss,  epoch_test_loss))print("="*20, 'Done', "="*20)

learning rate = 0.09990  Epoch: 1, Train_loss:0.00131, Test_loss:0.01248
learning rate = 0.09961  Epoch: 2, Train_loss:0.01448, Test_loss:0.01209
learning rate = 0.09911  Epoch: 3, Train_loss:0.01415, Test_loss:0.01168
learning rate = 0.09843  Epoch: 4, Train_loss:0.01377, Test_loss:0.01124
learning rate = 0.09755  Epoch: 5, Train_loss:0.01334, Test_loss:0.01074
learning rate = 0.09649  Epoch: 6, Train_loss:0.01283, Test_loss:0.01019
learning rate = 0.09524  Epoch: 7, Train_loss:0.01222, Test_loss:0.00956
learning rate = 0.09382  Epoch: 8, Train_loss:0.01150, Test_loss:0.00886
learning rate = 0.09222  Epoch: 9, Train_loss:0.01067, Test_loss:0.00810
learning rate = 0.09045  Epoch:10, Train_loss:0.00972, Test_loss:0.00727
learning rate = 0.08853  Epoch:11, Train_loss:0.00867, Test_loss:0.00640
learning rate = 0.08645  Epoch:12, Train_loss:0.00754, Test_loss:0.00552
learning rate = 0.08423  Epoch:13, Train_loss:0.00638, Test_loss:0.00467
learning rate = 0.08187  Epoch:14, Train_loss:0.00523, Test_loss:0.00387
learning rate = 0.07939  Epoch:15, Train_loss:0.00417, Test_loss:0.00316
learning rate = 0.07679  Epoch:16, Train_loss:0.00322, Test_loss:0.00255
learning rate = 0.07409  Epoch:17, Train_loss:0.00242, Test_loss:0.00205
learning rate = 0.07129  Epoch:18, Train_loss:0.00178, Test_loss:0.00166
learning rate = 0.06841  Epoch:19, Train_loss:0.00129, Test_loss:0.00136
learning rate = 0.06545  Epoch:20, Train_loss:0.00093, Test_loss:0.00113
learning rate = 0.06243  Epoch:21, Train_loss:0.00067, Test_loss:0.00097
learning rate = 0.05937  Epoch:22, Train_loss:0.00049, Test_loss:0.00085
learning rate = 0.05627  Epoch:23, Train_loss:0.00036, Test_loss:0.00077
learning rate = 0.05314  Epoch:24, Train_loss:0.00028, Test_loss:0.00071
learning rate = 0.05000  Epoch:25, Train_loss:0.00022, Test_loss:0.00066
learning rate = 0.04686  Epoch:26, Train_loss:0.00018, Test_loss:0.00063
learning rate = 0.04373  Epoch:27, Train_loss:0.00016, Test_loss:0.00060
learning rate = 0.04063  Epoch:28, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00058
learning rate = 0.03757  Epoch:29, Train_loss:0.00013, Test_loss:0.00057
learning rate = 0.03455  Epoch:30, Train_loss:0.00012, Test_loss:0.00056
learning rate = 0.03159  Epoch:31, Train_loss:0.00012, Test_loss:0.00055
learning rate = 0.02871  Epoch:32, Train_loss:0.00011, Test_loss:0.00054
learning rate = 0.02591  Epoch:33, Train_loss:0.00011, Test_loss:0.00054
learning rate = 0.02321  Epoch:34, Train_loss:0.00011, Test_loss:0.00053
learning rate = 0.02061  Epoch:35, Train_loss:0.00011, Test_loss:0.00053
learning rate = 0.01813  Epoch:36, Train_loss:0.00012, Test_loss:0.00053
learning rate = 0.01577  Epoch:37, Train_loss:0.00012, Test_loss:0.00053
learning rate = 0.01355  Epoch:38, Train_loss:0.00012, Test_loss:0.00054
learning rate = 0.01147  Epoch:39, Train_loss:0.00012, Test_loss:0.00054
learning rate = 0.00955  Epoch:40, Train_loss:0.00013, Test_loss:0.00055
learning rate = 0.00778  Epoch:41, Train_loss:0.00013, Test_loss:0.00055
learning rate = 0.00618  Epoch:42, Train_loss:0.00013, Test_loss:0.00056
learning rate = 0.00476  Epoch:43, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00056
learning rate = 0.00351  Epoch:44, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00057
learning rate = 0.00245  Epoch:45, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00057
learning rate = 0.00157  Epoch:46, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00057
learning rate = 0.00089  Epoch:47, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00057
learning rate = 0.00039  Epoch:48, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00057
learning rate = 0.00010  Epoch:49, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00057
learning rate = 0.00000  Epoch:50, Train_loss:0.00014, Test_loss:0.00057
==================== Done ====================

四、模型评估

1. LOSS图

import matplotlib.pyplot as pltplt.figure(figsize=(5, 3),dpi=120)plt.plot(train_loss    , label='LSTM Training Loss')
plt.plot(test_loss, label='LSTM Validation Loss')plt.title('Training and Validation Loss')
plt.legend()
plt.show()

代码输出

2. 调用模型进行预测

predicted_y_lstm = sc.inverse_transform(model(X_test).detach().numpy().reshape(-1,1))                    # 测试集输入模型进行预测
y_test_1         = sc.inverse_transform(y_test.reshape(-1,1))
y_test_one       = [i[0] for i in y_test_1]
predicted_y_lstm_one = [i[0] for i in predicted_y_lstm]plt.figure(figsize=(5, 3),dpi=120)
# 画出真实数据和预测数据的对比曲线
plt.plot(y_test_one[:2000], color='red', label='real_temp')
plt.plot(predicted_y_lstm_one[:2000], color='blue', label='prediction')plt.title('Title')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('Y')
plt.legend()
plt.show()

代码输出

3. R2值评估

from sklearn import metrics
"""
RMSE ：均方根误差  ----->  对均方误差开方
R2   ：决定系数，可以简单理解为反映模型拟合优度的重要的统计量
"""
RMSE_lstm  = metrics.mean_squared_error(predicted_y_lstm_one, y_test_1)**0.5
R2_lstm    = metrics.r2_score(predicted_y_lstm_one, y_test_1)print('均方根误差: %.5f' % RMSE_lstm)
print('R2: %.5f' % R2_lstm)

代码输出

均方根误差: 6.77961
R2: 0.84096

五、拔高尝试

使用第1 ~ 8个时刻的数据预测第 9 ~10个时刻的温度数据，实际上也是把原来的单步预测修改为多步预测，主要改动部分在模型输出部分，再添加预测代码。

将model_lstm的“return out[:, -1:, :]”修改为“return out[:, -2:, :]”，就修改一个地方。

class model_lstm(nn.Module):def __init__(self):super(model_lstm, self).__init__()self.lstm0 = nn.LSTM(input_size=3 ,hidden_size=320, num_layers=1, batch_first=True)self.lstm1 = nn.LSTM(input_size=320 ,hidden_size=320, num_layers=1, batch_first=True)self.fc0   = nn.Linear(320, 1)def forward(self, x):out, hidden1 = self.lstm0(x) out, _ = self.lstm1(out, hidden1) out    = self.fc0(out) #return out[:, -1:, :]   #取2个预测值,否则经过lstm会得到8*2个预测#将return out[:, -1:, :]修改如下，就修改一个地方return out[:, -2:, :]   model = model_lstm()
model

添加预测代码

#拔高练习
test_1 = torch.tensor(dataFrame.iloc[:8 , ].values,dtype=torch.float32).reshape(1,-1,3)
pred_ = model(test_1)
pred_ = np.round(sc.inverse_transform(pred_.detach().numpy().reshape(1,-1)).reshape(-1),2)  #NumPy中的round函数将结果四舍五入保留两位小数
real_tem = data.Tem1.iloc[:2].values
print(f"第9~10时刻的温度预测：",  pred_)
print("第9~10时刻的真实温度：",  real_tem)

代码输出

第9~10时刻的温度预测： [31.4  29.51]
第9~10时刻的真实温度： [25. 25.]